Luc MICHEL for EODE/
Flash géopolitique – Geopolitical Daily/
2017 08 30 (II)/
* Donald Trump laid out his Afghanistan strategy:
In a speech that was short on specifics, Trump said he decided a “hasty withdrawal would create a vacuum for terrorists,” and that the US would commit more troops to the country. He also said the US would put more pressure on Pakistan to do more in the fight against terrorists that operate on its border with Afghanistan.
* Trump strategy has no real issue:
the Trump administration announced that it was sending another 4,000 American troops there to « fight to win, » although these additional troops cannot bring about any military victory, and while Trump is also reiterating that “ever since his election campaign his basic approach has been that the U.S. must withdraw from Afghanistan”, Secretary of State Tillerson is explaining that “this step is just a threat aimed at obtaining the Taliban’s consent to negotiations for a solution to the crisis”. “It seems that U.S. policymakers have not even the smallest grasp of how to manage political and strategic affairs, and that they are counting on one outcome in a place where it is elementary that the opposite outcome will occur3? COMMENT AN Iranian source. Additionally, the messages that are coming from the U.S. State Department are different from those coming from the White House.
(Tasnim, Iran, August 20, 2017)
* Stratfor analysis:
“U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed his commitment to Afghanistan in an Aug. 21 address to the nation. His speech highlighted the familiar challenges associated with the Afghan theater… angle”, STRATFOR comment … “U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed his commitment to Afghanistan in an August 21 address to the nation. Washington’s goal is to tip the scales in Kabul’s favor, ensuring a more favorable stalemate in which the Afghan government can maintain control over key urban centers and more capably manage the insurgency. A number of critical factors inevitably define the U.S. approach to dealing with Afghanistan”.
(Stratfor Report, Auugust 26, 2017)
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